Profit or Panic? The £1 Billion Gamble Rightmove Made on AI

It seems Rightmove’s board forgot the cardinal rule of publicly traded companies: you can have any long-term vision you like, as long as it doesn’t interrupt the steady flow of short-term profits. Announcing a spending spree on Artificial Intelligence, the UK’s property portal giant managed to spectacularly wipe £1 billion off its valuation. This isn’t just a market wobble; it’s a deafening vote of no confidence from investors, and a perfect lesson in how not to manage AI budget prioritization. The whole episode stinks of a boardroom that was so busy gazing at a shiny technological future that it tripped over the very investors it’s supposed to serve.

Let’s be clear. The problem isn’t that Rightmove wants to invest in AI. In 2024, not investing in AI is corporate negligence. The real issue is the narrative. When a company Signals it is deprioritizing profit growth to fund this venture, investors hear one thing and one thing only: “Your dividends are being sacrificed for a science project we can’t quite explain.” And just like that, a strategic investment becomes a panic-inducing liability.

What is ‘AI Budget Prioritization’ Anyway?

AI budget prioritization isn’t some arcane dark art cooked up in a CFO’s office. It’s the simple, yet brutally difficult, process of deciding where to funnel money in the great AI gold rush. It’s about making choices. Do you pour funds into developing a new generative AI tool to write property descriptions, or do you invest in an AI-powered analytics engine to give estate agents better market insights? Or, and here’s the kicker, do you keep that cash to sweeten the profit-and-loss statement and keep shareholders happy?

This is where corporate governance is meant to step in. A company’s board is supposed to act as the adult in the room, balancing the CEO’s ambitious tech dreams with the fiduciary duty to shareholders. Proper governance ensures that every pound spent on technology, AI or otherwise, is tethered to a clear business outcome. What investors saw in Rightmove’s announcement was a disconnect. They saw a plan to spend more, which would mean earning less, without a convincing story of how this would create overwhelming value down the line. It’s like a homeowner telling their bank they’re stopping mortgage payments to save up for a state-of-the-art swimming pool. The ambition is admirable, the timing and logic, however, are deeply flawed.

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Governance, Grandeur, and a £1 Billion Hole

The Rightmove fiasco is a masterclass in what happens when corporate governance fails to manage the narrative around technology spending. The company, a dominant force in the UK property market, has enjoyed a comfortable, almost utility-like status for years. Its business model is simple: charge estate agents a subscription to list properties on its platform. It’s a cash cow. So, when CEO Johan Svanström signalled a shift towards heavier investment at the expense of profit margins, the market didn’t see innovation; it saw a threat to the core proposition.

As reported in The Times, shares plummeted by as much as 28 per cent following the capital markets day. Think about that. A company announces it’s embracing the future, and in response, investors flee in terror, incinerating £1 billion of the company’s value. This wasn’t a reaction to a bad earnings report or a scandal. It was a reaction to a strategy. It shows a catastrophic failure to bring investors along on the journey, a core responsibility of any board. They wanted to build a rocket ship without first convincing anyone that going to the moon was a good idea, or even profitable.

This brutal reaction highlights a deep-seated scepticism in the market. Investors in established, non-tech-native companies are not the same as venture capitalists throwing money at a Silicon Valley startup. They are there for steady, predictable returns. Rightmove’s announcement was anything but predictable.

Tech Transitions: A Tightrope Walk for Market Confidence

What happened at Rightmove is a classic case of market confidence evaporating during one of today’s riskiest manoeuvres: tech transitions. When a company whose identity is not built on cutting-edge technology decides to pivot, it’s walking a high-wire without a safety net. For every Microsoft successfully reinventing itself as a cloud-first company, there are dozens of others that look clumsy and lose their footing.

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Investors get nervous because these transitions are expensive, uncertain, and often poorly articulated. The history of business is littered with companies that fumbled their tech upgrades. The fear is that Rightmove is trading its highly profitable, albeit simple, business model for a costly and speculative AI-driven one.

Communication is everything: If you are going to tell investors you’re spending their returns on AI, you need an iron-clad business case. How will it defend against competitors? How will it increase customer ‘stickiness’? How will it generate more profit in the long run? Rightmove seemingly failed to answer these questions with enough conviction.
The DNA problem: For a company like Google, spending billions on AI is just another Tuesday. It’s in their DNA. For a property portal, it’s a fundamental change in identity. Investors bought shares in a dominant digital classifieds business, not a speculative AI research lab. The board’s job was to bridge that gap, and by all accounts, they failed.

This isn’t an isolated incident. We see this time and again when established players try to innovate. The market punishes uncertainty, and tech transitions are the very definition of uncertainty.

The Delicate Art of Balancing AI and Profit

So, how does a company avoid Rightmove’s fate? How do you innovate without terrifying the people who own your stock? The answer lies in a more disciplined and communicative approach to AI investments. It’s about proving that you’re not just chasing trends but building competitive advantages.

A key part of this is a relentless focus on Return on Investment (ROI). Every AI initiative should be tied to a measurable outcome. For instance, if you’re building an AI tool for estate agents, the goal shouldn’t just be “to innovate.” It should be “to reduce agent churn by 15% within 24 months by providing them with a tool that saves them five hours a week.” That’s a goal you can sell to a board and, just as importantly, to the market.

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This also ties into the fundamentals of your business. It was interesting to see, as The Times also recently noted with its own operations, how even a media giant can struggle with the basics like subscription payment systems. It’s a reminder that before you shoot for the AI moon, you must ensure your basic operations are flawless. Are your customers happy? Is your core service reliable? AI should be a powerful amplifier of a strong business, not a desperate life raft for a leaky one. For Rightmove, this means ensuring its AI investments directly address the needs of its primary customers—the estate agents—to justify its subscription fees and prevent them from defecting.

Lessons from the Rubble

The smoking crater of Rightmove’s share price offers some stark lessons for any CEO or board member with AI on their roadmap. First and foremost, never underestimate the market’s preference for boring profits over exciting, expensive promises. Your investors are your partners, not your patrons. They need to be convinced, not just informed.

The future for companies like Rightmove will involve a tricky balancing act. They absolutely must integrate AI to stay relevant and fight off nimbler, tech-native startups. But they must do so incrementally, with clear, jargon-free communication and a demonstrable link to profitability. Perhaps they should pursue smaller, focused AI projects that deliver quick wins, building market confidence step-by-step rather than announcing a grand, nebulous strategy that sets off alarm bells.

The real challenge isn’t technical; it’s cultural and communicative. It’s about changing the engine of the car while it’s still driving down the motorway, and doing it so smoothly that the passengers in the back (the investors) barely notice.

What do you think? Is the market right to be so brutally sceptical of companies spending big on AI, or are investors being hopelessly short-sighted, punishing the very innovation needed for long-term survival? Where is the line between prudent investment and reckless speculation?

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